Weather Discussion

Moderate Risk for Severe Storms Today

dlongley — Tue, 10 Jun 2008 08:24:00 GMT

Just rolled into the office and the new SPC outlook does have us in a moderate risk today. As I mentioned last night, this is setting up to be a potentially damaging wind event for us. The storms we just had go through will do nothing to ruin our severe potential today. If you click on the above image, you'll be sent to the Day 1 convective outlook. This looks to be mid to late afternoon arrival, but I'm just starting to look at the data. More to come through the morning. Dave...(read more)

Strong Storms Possible Tuesday

dlongley — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 14:33:00 GMT

Above is the Day 2 convective outlook issued by the Storm Prediction Center. You see here in CNY we're in the slight risk area for Tuesday. If you click on the image, you'll get the actual outlook. It'll be updated again this afternoon. Obviously we're got the heat in place. Southwest winds will push temperatures once again near 90 Tuesday, and we'll also likely see a spike in dewpoints tomorrow. That'll provide us with more than enough ingredients for thunderstorms. ...(read more)

Welcome To Summer (2 Weeks Early)

Jim Teske — Sat, 07 Jun 2008 01:37:00 GMT

The heat is here and boy did it come in with a bang last night! In Syracuse there were actually 2 storms, one around 1 AM and the other one just before 4 AM. With all that lightning I'm surprised there wasn't more than 4,000 people left without power. No reports of any other severe weather (wind damage or hail). Those storms were along a warm front that cleared central New York this morning. How about this for a temperature contrast: 92 in Syracuse, 75 in Albany and 59 in Worcester,...(read more)

Teske's Tidbits (6/2/08) The One About Cool Mays

Jim Teske — Tue, 03 Jun 2008 02:19:00 GMT

Sorry for the gap in posts. Sometimes we get bogged down in other work here in the office. Plus I was waiting for the end of May to share some numbers with all of you. Here’s a May story. Tell me if it sounds familiar. Syracuse had over 20 days with below normal temperatures. Overall the month averaged about 3 degrees below normal. There were even a couple of days leading up to Memorial Day where temperatures were only in the 50s for a high! Rainfall was below normal with very little...(read more)

Post Memorial Day Frost Threat

Jim Teske — Wed, 28 May 2008 00:36:00 GMT

What a change one day can make. Yesterday it was in the 80s (with humidity to boot!) this afternoon we are holding in the low 50s. This cooler air is part of a chilly air mass building south out of Canada. With clear skies and diminishing winds we should set up for ideal radiational cooling. One thing to keep an eye on this evening is the dewpoint. We are near 40 degrees as of 6 PM and there are lower dewpoint to our north, even 20s just north of Lake Ontario. What...(read more)

Memorial Day Thunder?

Jim Teske — Mon, 26 May 2008 01:40:00 GMT

We hope you had a chance to enjoy the absolutely spectacular Sunday across central New York. It's nice when the the best day of the month so far coincides with part of the Memorial Day weekend. Unfortunately you may have to plan around some thunderstorms for Memorial Day. Here is what we are up against. Warmth and moisture has been steadily moving north and east through the middle of the country today. I'm looking at a surface map Sunday evening and I'm keying in on Missouri and Illinois...(read more)

Teske's Tidbits (5/22/08) The One About Spring on Hold

Jim Teske — Thu, 22 May 2008 16:11:00 GMT

There is certainly no way to put a good spin on the weather so far this week. As I type this up (10:30 AM Thursday) it's showery with temperatures in the mid 40s when our normal high should be in the low 70s. It's hard to believe but our 'best' day this week was Tuesday when we were 63 for a high (still 8 degrees below normal). I can't even justify that I'm saving money not running the air conditioner. Every day this week I've had the heat on in my house. If there is any good spin on this weather...(read more)

Chilly Pain Before the Payoff

dlongley — Mon, 19 May 2008 15:34:00 GMT

Posted 10:30 AM Monday, by Dave Longley - I struggled to come up with a title for this entry. Yes it's cold. Yes, some people saw snow this morning. Yes, our normal high temperature for today hits 70. We do truly see light at the end of the tunnel. We just need some patience. If there's any left.The weather map shows a big trough in the northeastern US, which represents a pool of unseasonably cold air. Temperatures around 5,000 feet are below freezing and...(read more)

Teske's Tidbits (5/14/08) The One About The Summer Forecast

Jim Teske — Thu, 15 May 2008 03:32:00 GMT

We issued our official summer forecast earlier this evening. Just a refresher on how we go about our seasonal forecasts. We pick one or two unusual monthly numbers for the current season and compare them to past years. April was key to this year’s summer forecast. It was unusually warm this April (3rd warmest) and there was little snow (just a trace). Here is what we found based on these numbers. When looking at the past ten warmest Aprils, 7 out of the 10 following summers...(read more)

Teske's Tidbits (5/8/08) The One About April Sunshine

Jim Teske — Thu, 08 May 2008 18:46:00 GMT

One other leftover stat from the month of April in Syracuse is the sunny weather. At 66% it was the 4th sunniest April on record. We had about 1/3 more sunshine this past April than in a normal April. We were going at such a great clip with sunshine toward the end of the month that the last half of April we averaged 80% sunshine! I read something from the Buffalo National Weather Service that they had their sunniest April on record. We certainly aren’t going to be challenging Arizona...(read more)

A Few Thunderstorms This Afternoon

dlongley — Wed, 07 May 2008 15:54:00 GMT

Posted 10:55 AM Wednesday, 5/7/2008, Dave Longley - A warm front is forecast to swing through Central New York this afternoon. The timing would put this front through here once we get a chance to warm into the mid 70s. We think this will be the trigger for a few thunderstorms this afternoon. Again, not all of us will see rain or thunder, but everything that we look at here in the office continues to point to the possibility of something developing this afternoon. A cold front...(read more)

Wow, This is Nice!

dlongley — Tue, 06 May 2008 15:48:00 GMT

Posted 10:30 AM, Tuesday, 5/6/2008-Dave Longley- Another beautiful, sunny morning across the area. Light winds are making it feel doubly nice. Looks like I'll be able to finish up the yard work this afternoon. Jim Teske and I have been watching an area of clouds drop in toward us from the NW. The clouds are drying up as they head our way, but we may see an increase in some clouds around here by mid afternoon. There are showers showing up on the radar back across Michigan,...(read more)

Teske's Tidbits (5/1/08) The One About Frost

Jim Teske — Thu, 01 May 2008 16:33:00 GMT

For growers and gardeners across central New York we were in dangerous territory the last few days. Wednesday morning Syracuse was 33 and this morning we were 28, just one degree off the record for the day. With all the warm weather the last few weeks trees and plants across the region are in bloom well ahead of schedule. In my yard there is a Magnolia Tree that has already bloomed and is finished for the season. Some lilacs are about to do the same. I was on the radio with...(read more)

Yes, That Was Snow This Morning

dlongley — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 15:40:00 GMT

Posted 10:40 AM, Wednesday, 4/30/2008, Dave Longley - Yes, scattered flurries have been falling across CNY this morning. Boy, did it get a response from folks! I guess the nice weather of the past couple weeks has softened us. I would guess in a "normal" April, those flakes wouldn't have illicited such a response.It was pretty amazing this morning. We went from bright sunshine to an overcast and snow showers in a matter of minutes. With very cold temperatures aloft and...(read more)

Had Enough Rain Yet?

dlongley — Mon, 28 Apr 2008 15:17:00 GMT

Posted Monday Morning, 4/28/2008, Dave Longley - Well, after a long stretch of dry and warm weather, the weather will be going downhill just a bit for the start of this week. Low pressure heading our way from W. Va this morning will move just about over us this afternoon, spreading a large area of rain our way. As of 10 this morning, we've had a quarter inch of rain. That's on top of the inch plus of rain we had Saturday evening. It looks like this widespread rain will be...(read more)

Teske's Tidbits (4/24/08) The One about April Warmth

Jim Teske — Thu, 24 Apr 2008 16:38:00 GMT

The summer-like warmth continues over central New York. A cold front came through last night and we are still forecasting temperatures about 10 degrees above normal today (Thursday). Some cold front. Our average temperature for April currently stands at 7.2 degrees above normal. We are right now tied for the 4th warmest April on record. If you only include the past 7 days over average jumps to 16.5 degrees above normal! Earlier in the week we mentioned that we are only the cusp of something...(read more)

Thunderstorms Expected This Afternoon

dlongley — Wed, 23 Apr 2008 15:43:00 GMT

Posted 10:30 AM Wednesday, by Dave Longley - Wow, what a stretch of weather we've been enjoying. I had to come back from vacation just to enjoy some warm weather! As of 10 this morning, we're already at 70 degrees, and still there area a few hours of sun to come. Also, southwest winds will help to push temperatures well into the 70s today. I'm also noticing an increase in dewpoints. There's more moisture in the air today compared to yesterday. This heat and moisture...(read more)

Will It Rain This Weekend?

Jim Teske — Sat, 19 Apr 2008 02:11:00 GMT

It has been a remarkable stretch of weather this week across central New York. High pressure down at the ground and aloft built into the Northeast midweek and it is entrenched over us. Think of it as a big roadblock in the atmosphere;it's holding back all comers at this point. Our biggest point of contention this week was whether we would get any rain in here by the end of the week. We knew we would be dealing with a storm in the upper atmopshere moving through middle part of the...(read more)

Teske's Tidbits (4/16/08) The One About 1 Year Ago

Jim Teske — Wed, 16 Apr 2008 14:21:00 GMT

Yesterday a viewer from Cazenovia e-mailed us a picture that reminded us of late season snowstorm on this date just one year ago. It was a view of a pine tree bending under the weight of heavy wet snow. An area of low pressure tracked east through the middle of the country then strengthened once it reached the East Coast. The storm stalled near New York City on the 16th and central New York ended up just cold enough for wet snow. A general 6-12" snowfall occurred over all of central New York...(read more)

A Chilly Start

Jim Teske — Tue, 15 Apr 2008 14:49:00 GMT

The official low in Syracuse Tuesday morning was 29. Actually, that is not even close to the record low of 18 set back in 1926. Here are some of the colder readings that came in this morning: Alder Creek 24 Tully 23 Westdale 20 N. Redfield 19 Saranac Lake 15 Let us know what your low was this morning. Watch what...(read more)