Posted 10:55 AM Wednesday, 5/7/2008, Dave Longley - A warm front is forecast to swing through Central New York this afternoon.  The timing would put this front through here once we get a chance to warm into the mid 70s.  We think this will be the trigger for a few thunderstorms this afternoon.  Again, not all of us will see rain or thunder, but everything that we look at here in the office continues  to point to the possibility of something developing this afternoon.

A cold front now back across Michigan will continue to move east and that will be a much better focus for rain and some thunder.  We could pick up about a quarter inch of rain tonight.

It still looks like any rain or clouds will move out by sunrise Thursday, and we should end up bright and sunny by tomorrow afternoon.  All in all, not a bad day tomorrow with WNW winds of 10-20 mph, diminishing through the afternoon.

The one thing we're still fine tuning is Friday's forecast.  A very wet storm is forecast to move out of the southern Plains into the Mid Atlantic Friday.  We're just not sure of the latitudinal position of that low, so that will dictate how far north the northern edge of the rain shield will be.  Right now we figure the cut-off of rain will be somewhere in CNY.  Of course, that will also dictate where the clouds thin and the sun gets out.  We could end up cloudy, but dry Friday.

Saturday will be totally dry with temps in the 60s.

Sunday, Mother's Day, will bring increasing clouds, and the chance for some rain during the afternoon.  Much chillier and wet weather will stick around for much of the first half (at least) of next week.  Just a heads up there.

-Dave