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Happy First Day of Spring!

Posted 9 AM Thursday - Dave Longley - Spring officially arrived at 1:48 this morning, when the sun crossed the earth's equator, heading into the Northern Hemisphere.  Obviously it isn't very Spring feeling outside, with brisk winds and temps in the 30s.  The way things are shaping up, it looks as though temperatures will remain well below normal right through the Easter Weekend.

I'm sensing from some of you, if you're like me, you're wondering where Spring is?  The Chiefs open up their season 2 weeks from today, and they could very well be playing in parkas! 

If you've been reading both Jim and my blog entries, you're well aware of the Spring outlook for below normal temps for March and April, especially March.  We're definitely feeling that!  You've also read of the NAO/AO going negative for a time, leading to more blocking in the western Atlantic, and a higher likelihood of colder than normal weather here in the Northeastern US.  That's working out too.  Yes, it's frustrating, but it's still only March.  Here's how I find my solace.

We know that warmth is building all across the southern US.  We also know, that at least from Syracuse southward, there really isn't much, if any snow to melt.  All we need is a south wind to bring warmth our way, and I think that we'll see more of that in the next couple weeks.  It won't be like a giant switch that will be flipped.  But our instances of seeing 40s and even 50s will increase, while our days in the 20s and 30s will decrease.  We see this cold block of weather breaking down across the Northeastern US after this weekend, and that will allow the latitudinal position of the jet stream shift north, increasing our chances of seeing warmth.  With the storm track shifting north, our chances for south winds goes up, and I see that happening as early as next week.  I bet we get a couple of days in 50s, especially late next week.

Hang in there troops.  We'll be mowing and golfing and fishing soon.  For the skiers, you'll be able to get in a few more runs this Easter Weekend, something you can't do when Easter falls in April.

-Dave

Published Thursday, March 20, 2008 8:54 AM by dlongley

Comments

 

dlongley said:

Oh yeah, one more thing.  Rudy's in Oswego is open, so it must be Spring!  I can smell the fish sandwich from here.
March 20, 2008 8:54 AM
 

dlongley said:

I just had an e-mail come into the office.  Just so you all know, there is nothing special about the Sun's gravity today, compared to any other day.  An egg will stand on end today, or tomorrow, or the day after that.  Check the link to see the full explanation:
http://www.badastronomy.com/bad/misc/egg_spin.html#badegg

Dave
March 20, 2008 10:06 AM
 

RICH said:

Don't warm it up to fast!  This has been perfect maple syruping weather, keep it going!
March 20, 2008 10:14 AM
 

Tony said:

My wife says it is spring because she saw a fat robin sittin on the powerlines and two cardinals (male and female) in our front tree checking it out for nest construction!
March 20, 2008 10:29 AM
 

Dan said:

Obviously, the egg balancing thing during equinox is bogus (the moon would be more important), but the guy on that web site is cheating. It's only a real trick if you balance the egg on its thin end, like the school kids did.
March 20, 2008 11:39 AM
 

Eric said:

You mean winter's finally over? YAY!!!
So when is it gonna warm up? I hope it's soon...
March 20, 2008 11:57 AM
 

Jeanine said:

Well Dave it really is spring when Rudy's is open.... Now make sure you come down and take your grandma to lunch!!! :-)
March 20, 2008 1:02 PM
 

Mike S said:

Dave, I don't know if you'd know, but why did TMN get new music and opens? The old ones were better!
March 20, 2008 1:42 PM
 

patb said:

Was I dreaming or was there thunder and lightning during the night in Oswego County last night/early am?
March 20, 2008 5:26 PM
 

Amy said:

i am glad spring is here...but i wont believe it till not a flake of snow is flying in the air...so i can go 4 wheeling...miss them days..nice warm days.
March 20, 2008 5:37 PM
 

Bonnie said:

Rudy's is open?   YES!!!
March 20, 2008 5:37 PM
 

Frank said:

WHAT UP DEAN!
March 20, 2008 6:25 PM
 

Frank said:

OH YEAH!
March 20, 2008 6:29 PM
 

Mike B. said:

Dave,please explain to me what NAO/AO is. Also exactly what causes blocking in the Western Atlantic. I sure hope it warms up soon. This Easter may be the second coldest Easter in the last half century(according to NOAA Archived data).
March 20, 2008 8:05 PM
 

ACitizen said:

Kudo's for SPRING'S arrival! As long as we don't get anymore snow and can put the snowblowers and shovels in the garage until next winter-who cares if it's colder than usual. It won't be long before everyone will be complaining it's too HOT lol.
Spring represents new beginning, rebirth-it's grrrrrrrrreat it's finally here.
March 21, 2008 9:16 AM
 

dlongley said:

Mike B., this page will get you started in the right direction on the NAO/AO, http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/essay_bond.html

Dave
March 21, 2008 1:16 PM
 

Mike B. said:

The NAO/AO must have also been negative around last Easter. It turned cold here the Thursday before Easter and it stayed cold until 4/18. There must have been a very negative NAO/AO back in April 1975 when it was below normal for 3 weeks!!!
March 21, 2008 7:29 PM
 

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