Posted by Jim Teske

We hope you all had a good Thanksgiving. I've had one dinner so far with one more to come this evening after the early shows. If you are out later this evening or maybe overnight starting your holiday shopping early Friday morning there will be squalls around.

As of the 5:30 PM the squalls had yet to develop, probably because the air aloft is still getting colder.  I would expect the radar to blossom more after 9 or 10 PM.

Winds in the lower atmosphere will be out of the north-northwest tonight which is not the best direction for heavy accumulation. The air aloft is as cold as last Friday night (when some 7-8" totals occurred in Madison County) but one ingredient that is missing is a connection to Georgian Bay. Input from there or even the upper Great Lakes usually makes the squalls more productive down here. With that connection missing that's why we are thinking a dusting to 3"  If I had to peg an area most likley to see 3" of snow it would be within the area from Auburn to Cortland to Syracuse and Oswego.

Check back leter this evening and I'll update this post in the comment section. Also tune over to us at 11 PM on the TV end.